Forex: Understanding Fundamental and Technical Analysis
Technical analysis
Focuses on price patterns and uses charting to differentiate them. Technical analysis focuses on price action and market behavior. With the use of various indicators, you will be able to locate and combine pattern recognition with your favorite indicator for confirmation to take a trade.
The indicators are available on most trading software, and all calculations are done automatically within the software.
The problem with trading indicators only is that, first they are lagging price, and then you are only looking at the right side of your chart, waiting to see what will happen. What about the left side, or the side of your chart that is telling you what has already happened? This is a very important aspect of trading. A good chart is priceless if it helps to identify a great opportunity.
Momentum analysis is a measure of the change in Forex trading trends over a certain period of time. Certain momentum indicators will show if a currency is overbought or oversold, and these are common and very helpful tools for technical analysis.
Fundamental analysis
Regards price behavior as a product of economic and political events. Fundamental analysis involves the use of economic data, critical political decisions or the different social issues that influence prices. Interest and employment are major economic data that could move the market considerably. Fundamental trading is a very effective way to forecast economic conditions, but not necessarily exact market prices.
Don't fill your mind with too much information, the best way to trade is the simple way. However, it is very important to understand fundamental and technical analysis in order to use them for your Forex trading.
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Showing posts with label Forex Trading. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Forex Trading. Show all posts
Saturday, August 15, 2009
Sunday, August 2, 2009
Trade Volume
Forex: Rate of Growth of Foreign Exchange Markets
Figures for daily turnover in foreign exchange trading
In the early 1970s, the daily turnover in foreign exchange markets was $18 billion.
Transaction volume increased more than fourfold between 1977 and 1980 and fourfold again between1980 and 1983. Trading doubled between 1983 and 1986, and tripled between 1986 and 1989, when it reached the sum of $590 billion. It increased by almost 40% between 1989 and 1992, when it amounted to $820 billion a day.
The 1995 daily foreign exchange trading figure of $1.19 trillion represents an increase of 45% on that for 1992 (or 30%, taking into account the depreciation of the dollar). The volume of foreign exchange trade has therefore increased by roughly 83 times in the last 30 years.
This massive increase in the volume of trade is due to the break up in the early 1970s of the Bretton Woods system of fixed parities among major currencies and a move to floating exchange rates. It is also due to the growing liberalisation of financial markets, and the introduction of electronic trading, which makes it possible to deal with a greater volume of trade.
FIGURES 1998:
BIS calculated that the global turnover in traditional foreign exchange markets in 1998 had reached an estimated daily average of $1.5 trillion, a growth of 26% on the figures for 1995. This slowing of the rate of growth is attributable to the introduction of the euro, and economic problems in Asia.
Global daily turnover in foreign exchange derivatives contracts traded over-the-counter was estimated at $961 billion in April 1998 (up a huge 66% since 1995). Exchange-traded currency derivatives amounted to another $12 billion daily.
The notional amount outstanding on all OTC (over-the-counter) foreign exchange derivatives in June 1998 was estimated at $22 trillion. The gross market value of these contracts was $982 billion. BIS calculated that the turnover in notional amounts of exchange-traded currency futures and options for 1998 was another $3.5 trillion.
Therefore the total figure for daily foreign exchange trading in 1998 can be estimated at $2.473 trillion, or $593.5 trillion for the year.
Figures for daily turnover in foreign exchange trading
In the early 1970s, the daily turnover in foreign exchange markets was $18 billion.
Transaction volume increased more than fourfold between 1977 and 1980 and fourfold again between1980 and 1983. Trading doubled between 1983 and 1986, and tripled between 1986 and 1989, when it reached the sum of $590 billion. It increased by almost 40% between 1989 and 1992, when it amounted to $820 billion a day.
The 1995 daily foreign exchange trading figure of $1.19 trillion represents an increase of 45% on that for 1992 (or 30%, taking into account the depreciation of the dollar). The volume of foreign exchange trade has therefore increased by roughly 83 times in the last 30 years.
This massive increase in the volume of trade is due to the break up in the early 1970s of the Bretton Woods system of fixed parities among major currencies and a move to floating exchange rates. It is also due to the growing liberalisation of financial markets, and the introduction of electronic trading, which makes it possible to deal with a greater volume of trade.
FIGURES 1998:
BIS calculated that the global turnover in traditional foreign exchange markets in 1998 had reached an estimated daily average of $1.5 trillion, a growth of 26% on the figures for 1995. This slowing of the rate of growth is attributable to the introduction of the euro, and economic problems in Asia.
Global daily turnover in foreign exchange derivatives contracts traded over-the-counter was estimated at $961 billion in April 1998 (up a huge 66% since 1995). Exchange-traded currency derivatives amounted to another $12 billion daily.
The notional amount outstanding on all OTC (over-the-counter) foreign exchange derivatives in June 1998 was estimated at $22 trillion. The gross market value of these contracts was $982 billion. BIS calculated that the turnover in notional amounts of exchange-traded currency futures and options for 1998 was another $3.5 trillion.
Therefore the total figure for daily foreign exchange trading in 1998 can be estimated at $2.473 trillion, or $593.5 trillion for the year.
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